Survey Working Group: Targeted Optimal Treatment Regime Learning Using Summary Statistics

Survey Working Group: Targeted Optimal Treatment Regime Learning Using Summary Statistics

Oct 10, 2024 - 2:10 PM
to Oct 10, 2024 - 3:00 PM

This week, our speaker is Moushumi. The title and abstract are given below.

 

Title: Targeted Optimal Treatment Regime Learning Using Summary Statistics 

Abstract: Personalized decision-making, aiming to derive optimal treatment regimes based on individual characteristics, has recently attracted increasing attention in many fields, such as medicine, social services, and economics. Current literature mainly focuses on estimating treatment regimes from a single source population. In real-world applications, the distribution of a target population can be different from that of the source population. Therefore, treatment regimes learned by existing methods may not generalize well to the target population. Due to privacy concerns and other practical issues, individual-level data from the target population is often not available, which makes treatment regime learning more challenging. We consider the problem of treatment regime estimation when the source and target populations may be heterogeneous, individual-level data is available from the source population, and only the summary information of covariates, such as moments, is accessible from the target population. We develop a weighting framework that tailors a treatment regime for a given target population by leveraging the available summary statistics. Specifically, we propose a calibrated augmented inverse probability weighted estimator of the value function for the target population and estimate an optimal treatment regime by maximizing this estimator within a class of pre-specified regimes.