Refreshments: 10:30 AM

Seminar: 11:00 AM

Title: Partial Identification via Schrödinger bridges (joint work with Bruno Nunes Costa, University of Michigan)

Abstract: Partial identification provides an alternative to point identification: instead of pinning down a unique parameter estimate, the goal is to characterize a set guaranteed to contain the true parameter value. Many partial identification approaches take the form of linear optimization problems, which seek the "best- and worst-case scenarios" of a proposed model subject to the constraint that the model replicates correct observable information. However, such linear programs become intractable in settings with multivalued or continuous variables. This paper introduces a novel method to overcome this computational and statistical curse of cardinality: an entropy penalty transforms these potentially infinite-dimensional linear programs into general versions of multi-marginal Schrödinger bridges, enabling efficient approximation of their solutions. In the process, we establish novel statistical and mathematical properties of such multi-marginal Schrödinger bridges---including an analysis of the asymptotic distribution of entropic approximations to infinite-dimensional linear programs. We illustrate this approach by analyzing  instrumental variable models with continuous variables, a setting that has been out of reach for existing methods that do not rely on sampling.